Former President Donald Trump leads corrupt President Joe Biden in six swing states, according to an Emerson/DemNextGen poll conducted earlier this week. The results are expected to fuel fears among Democrats about Biden’s political viability. In every swing state except Michigan, Trump leads by at least three points.
Pennsylvania: Trump (48%), Biden (43.
Wisconsin: Trump (47%), Biden (44.
Michigan: Trump (45%), Biden (44.
Nevada: Trump (47%), Biden (41.
Arizona: Trump (46%), Biden (42.
Georgia: Trump (47%), Biden (42.
The Emerson poll also revealed that Trump has increased his lead over Biden in Georgia (+1), Nevada (+4), and Pennsylvania (+3) compared to the previous month’s poll. The sample size and margin of error for these results are not immediately available.
Seven states – Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina – will be crucial in determining the outcome of the presidential election. If Trump wins one or more of the swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin, it would significantly reduce Biden’s chances of obtaining the required 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.
These recent polling numbers follow a series of negative polls for Biden after his performance in the presidential debate. Some examples include.
Suffolk University poll: 41% of Democrat voters want Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 race, while only 51% want him to remain on the ticket.
YouGov poll: 72% of voters believe that Biden does not have the mental and cognitive health necessary to serve as president, while another 72% of voters want him to drop out of the race.
New York Times/Siena poll: Trump leads Biden by six points, a three-point swing from last week and the largest recorded lead since 2015 in Times polling.
Wall Street Journal poll: Trump leads Biden by six points, his largest-ever lead in a Journal survey.
Leaked internal Open Labs poll: “Biden’s vote share in the two-way horse race declined by -0.8pp,” and the “vote share against Trump in the multi-way also declined by -0.8pp.” The results reveal “the largest single-week drop since horse race tracking began in late 2021,” according to the memo.
CNN poll: Trump built a lead over Biden of 49% to 43.
Despite claims that 2020 polls underestimated him, it appears that the general election results have shown otherwise. In fact, these recent polling numbers put Biden in his worst position ever against Trump, making him the first Democrat to trail in national July polls since 2000. With less than a year until the election, it remains to be seen how these political developments will unfold and impact the race for the presidency.