Former President Donald Trump seems to be leading over current President Joe Biden in the upcoming New Jersey election, according to a recent poll conducted by Republican super PAC United 2024. The survey results indicate that Trump leads Biden by two points, although within the margin of error.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Trump holds a 43% to 41% lead over Biden. However, when other options such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who received eight percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who received three percent support, are considered, both candidates tie at 38.
Matt Mowers, a senior strategist for United 2024, stated that the survey reveals “voters have soured on the Biden-Harris administration and are ready to punish corrupt Democrats running down-ballot as a result of their lockstep support of their administration.” Mowers added that “corrupt Joe Biden’s poor standing with voters trickles down-ballot.
In a separate contest, Rep. Andy Kim (D-NJ), a three-term congressman from New Jersey’s third Congressional District in southern New Jersey, leads GOP challenger Bashaw 35 to 33 percent. Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ), who is currently involved in a federal corruption trial, has six percent support.
Without considering Menendez, Kim leads Bashaw 41 to 39 percent. The United 2024 survey also found that New Jersey voters prefer an outsider over someone with experience in Washington, D.C.
The poll results suggest a considerable shift in voter sentiment towards Republican candidates in New Jersey. Mowers said, “These poll results underscore a significant shift in voter sentiment towards Republican candidates in New Jersey. The favorable numbers for Donald Trump and Curtis Bashaw highlight a clear path to victory in the November election with an investment in the Garden State.
A previous survey had shown Kim leading Bashaw by six points, illustrating the dynamic nature of political races. In its long history as a Democratic stronghold, New Jersey has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988, and the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972.
United 2024 conducted the poll between July 1 among 477 registered voters, with a margin of error of 4.5 percent.